Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001366 0.001484 0.001611 0.001759 0.001925 0.002109 0.002328
2025-11-23 0.001221 0.001381 0.001564 0.001790 0.002064 0.002388 0.002808
2025-11-30 0.001112 0.001294 0.001509 0.001787 0.002142 0.002587 0.003201
2025-12-07 0.001013 0.001203 0.001435 0.001744 0.002155 0.002694 0.003479
2025-12-14 0.000943 0.001139 0.001385 0.001722 0.002185 0.002819 0.003791
2025-12-21 0.000875 0.001072 0.001324 0.001677 0.002178 0.002886 0.004021
2025-12-28 0.000792 0.000979 0.001221 0.001567 0.002066 0.002790 0.003985
2026-01-04 0.000734 0.000916 0.001154 0.001500 0.002009 0.002766 0.004057
2026-01-11 0.000698 0.000879 0.001120 0.001476 0.002013 0.002832 0.004282
2026-01-18 0.000670 0.000852 0.001098 0.001468 0.002036 0.002931 0.004573
2026-01-25 0.000736 0.000957 0.001266 0.001752 0.002541 0.003874 0.006578
2026-02-01 0.000694 0.000908 0.001210 0.001690 0.002482 0.003847 0.006702
2026-02-08 0.000655 0.000865 0.001166 0.001652 0.002474 0.003936 0.007142
2026-02-15 0.000637 0.000852 0.001165 0.001683 0.002588 0.004270 0.008213
2026-02-22 0.000613 0.000827 0.001145 0.001681 0.002643 0.004498 0.009115
2026-03-01 0.000582 0.000791 0.001105 0.001642 0.002624 0.004576 0.009663
2026-03-08 0.000558 0.000764 0.001077 0.001621 0.002638 0.004723 0.010448
2026-03-15 0.000531 0.000732 0.001039 0.001580 0.002609 0.004770 0.010967
2026-03-22 0.000494 0.000682 0.000969 0.001479 0.002452 0.004513 0.010502
2026-03-29 0.000467 0.000646 0.000923 0.001417 0.002369 0.004416 0.010523
2026-04-05 0.000450 0.000626 0.000901 0.001395 0.002365 0.004502 0.011160
2026-04-12 0.000437 0.000612 0.000886 0.001387 0.002387 0.004655 0.012086
2026-04-19 0.000474 0.000679 0.001012 0.001649 0.003016 0.006481 0.020619